I've heard it said in recent days that Florida, Ohio and Pennsylania are the key to this election. If either candidate wins two of the three then they will win the Presidency. Here are the latest polls from those states:
Florida: Bush +2.3
Ohio: Kerry +1
Pennsylvania: Kerry +3.4
All eyes on Ohio. If Kerry gets Ohio then he also needs Iowa and New Mexico. If Bush loses Florida then it is over for him and the same goes of Kerry with Pennsylvania.
Iowa: Kerry +.07
New Mexico: TIE!
Due to the fact that the House of Representatives decides a tie (and it is Republican controlled), Bush only needs 269 electoral votes.
Source:
Realclearpolitics.com
